Stock Picks: Buy HST and HBI

17:56 13/02/2018

After hitting a low of 2,532.69 on February 9, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) appears to be in the middle of a bounce as it rebounded to 2,672.61 yesterday, February 12. While bulls are still in control, the index appears to show signs of hesitation. Volume is just slightly above the 20-day moving average at 2.687 billion. Moreover, yesterday’s price action created a spinning top candle indicating the presence of sellers above 2,656, and the presence of buyers below 2,636. Today’s candle should provide more clarity on the index’s direction.

While the SPX hesitates, let’s look at stocks that are near key support levels.

HST – Host Hotels and Resorts Incorporated

Host Hotels & Resorts, Incorporated is a S&P 500 and Fortune 500 real estate investment trust (REIT). As of February 2017, the company owns approximately 53,500 rooms spread in 96 upscale and luxury hotels worldwide. Their committed maintenance of their superior diversified portfolio, disciplined capital allocation, and strong asset management capabilities landed them in RobecoSAM’s 2018 Sustainability Yearbook among the world’s most sustainable companies.

HST lost its bullish steam in March 2015 when it generated a lower high at 21.91. The bearish head and shoulders pattern on the weekly chart was triggered when the stock broke below support of 19 in August 2015. HST plunged as investors started to dump shares. It took the stock five months to find its bottom at 12.17 in January 2016. As the stock bottomed out, the stock quickly rallied.

Technical analysis show that HST managed to reverse its trend and ignite a bull run when it breached resistance of 19 in October 2017. While the stock reached as high as 21.53 in January 2018, it flashed oversold readings which forced a dip. HST went as low as 18.74 this month before bulls rushed to defend support at 19. This slight correction is your chance to enter the market near a critical support level.

The strategy is to buy as close to 19 as possible. Should bulls successfully defend this level, the stock will most likely resume its march towards our target of 25. The entire process can take three months.

Weekly HST Chart

Monthly HST Chart

As of the time of writing, the Host Hotels and Resorts Incorporated stock is trading at 19.31.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: As close to 19 as possible.

Target: 25

Stop: A close below 18.75 negates this trade call

 

HBI – HanesBrand Incorporated

Hanesbrands Incorporated is an S&P 500 and Fortune 500 American clothing company. They are the world’s leading innovator, manufacturer, and marketer of basic apparel. Included in their portfolio are the brands Hanes, Champion, Playtex, Bali, L’eggs, Just My Size, Hanes Hoisery, Barely There, Wonderbra, Duofold, Aire, Beefy-T, C9 by Champion, Cacharel, Celebrity, Daisyfresh, J.E. Morgan, One Hanes Places, Maidenform, Rinbros, Ritmo, Sheer Energy, Silk Reflections, Sol, Sol y Oro, Tagless, and Zorba.

HBI exhausted its bullishness in November 2015 after posting a lower high at 33.24. It then went in a downtrend after breaking below support of 26 in February 2016. While the stock bounced, it created another lower high at 30.42 which validated the trend. From that point on, the HBI generated a series of lower highs and lower lows until it bottomed out at 18.91 in January 2017.

Technical analysis show that HBI has broken out of the downtrend channel that it respected for almost two years when it closed above 21 in June 2017, effectively reversing its trend. It went as high as 25.73 in September before succumbing to selling pressure. While it retreated, it seems to respect support of 19. More importantly, the stock appears to have capitulated on the week of February 5, 2018 as its weekly volume skyrocketed to 83.558 million when the average was just 33 million.

The strategy is buy as close to 19 support as possible. Once selling is over, the stock will most likely resume its march towards our target at 32.50. The process might take more than one year.

Weekly HBI Chart

Monthly HBI Chart

As of the time of writing, the Hanesbrands Incorporated stock is trading at 19.92.

Summary of Strategy

Buy: 19

Target: 32.5

Stop: A close below 18.50 negates this trade call

 

Featured image courtesy of Shutterstock.


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